[Noisebridge-discuss] How long will it take to have real personalHUDs?
Lee Sonko
lee at lee.org
Sat Nov 21 06:55:25 UTC 2009
> My guess: 6±1 years until real retail use.
I'd put money on it taking more than 7 years.
Since I'm a betting man, parts that I'd put into the bet include:
The retail product has to be "afforable to the masses". It's hard to pin a
number on that but less than $1,000 is a good start. That's about what a
supersnazzy big screen TV costs.
The majority of users have to be comfortable wearing and using it for
several hours a day, most days.
It has to be useful. The possible applications I've seen for this stuff are
astounding (and get me excited every time I see them). But there have to be
at least a few compelling applications that actually run on this worn
device.
So, what's the wager? Is betting money too droll?
Lee
> -----Original Message-----
> From: noisebridge-discuss-bounces at lists.noisebridge.net
> [mailto:noisebridge-discuss-bounces at lists.noisebridge.net] On
> Behalf Of Sai Emrys
> Sent: Friday, November 20, 2009 10:17 PM
> To: NoiseBridge Discuss
> Subject: [Noisebridge-discuss] How long will it take to have
> real personalHUDs?
>
> The tech: an unobtrusive true HUD personal user interface.
>
> I.e.:
> * display that fully overlays the user's standard vision (not
> merely giving a small screen in a corner of the eye, or requiring big
> goggles)
> - bonus: stereo vision *
> * stereo earbuds
> * integrated camera
> - bonus: camera sees from the user's perspective (e.g. by
> lens, fiber optic, or mirror mounting at/between eyes)
> - extra bonus: camera sees outside normal light spectra, e.g.
> thermal, IR, UV, etc
> * practically usable input device (EEG? glove? speech recognition?)
> - yes, I know there are some partially workable models already (e.g.
> Twiddler, Emotiv), but AIUI they're not quite ready for heavy use yet
> * standardized connection interface (e.g. USB, Bluetooth,
> etc) + standard APIs (e.g. current situation for webcams,
> keyboards, etc) so any personal device can easily connect to it
>
> A recent story on _On the Media_ made me think of this again.
> I know some of you are actually working with prototypes in this.
>
> My question for y'all: how long do you think this will take?
>
> I'm just curious how accurate y'all'll be. :-P
>
> My guess: 6±1 years until real retail use.
>
> - Sai
>
> * not that this would help *me* any, as I have strabismus and
> therefore absolutely no stereo/fusional vision whatsoever**.
> OTOH, I think single eye HUD would be sufficient for this use.
> ** yes, I see depth just fine. Stereo vision is only required
> for a small minority of depth cues. But I can't use magic eye
> books, binoculars, 3d glasses, etc.
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